derangedperson's Oscar predictions

[derangedperson]

Here's who I think will win some of the Oscar noms this year. Odds are I'll be completely wrong on a couple of them, so take it with a grain of salt.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Mo'Nique, Precious

BEST ACTOR
Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart

BEST ACTRESS
Gadboury Sidibe, Precious

BEST DIRECTOR
Pete Docter, Up

BEST PICTURE
Up

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Anvil! The Story Of Anvil

[AdminAssistant]

I do this every year, and usually do pretty well. Although I usually wait for the nominations to come out, and then try to pick a winner.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds

I think so...at least I certainly hope so. ETA: I just looked at the SAG list, and it doesn't seem like he'll have much stiff competition. It was a wonderful performance.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Mo'Nique, Precious

Unlikely. Look for one of the ladies from Nine to take this....either Penelope Cruz or perhaps a farewell nod to Sophia Loren. OR one of the ladies from the new Tennessee Williams' Loss of a Teardrop Diamond

ETA: The ladies from Inglourious Basterds are also possible noms. If Melanie Laurent, the actress that played Shoshanna, gets nominated she has a very good shot. The Supporting Oscars are all about newcomers, foreigners, and 'actors who have been around forever but haven't won any major awards'. Diane Kruger got a SAG nom, but I don't feel that her performance was as strong.

BEST ACTOR
Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart

Perhaps. I don't have any sense of this one. Wouldn't be terribly surprised to see Robert Downey, Jr. on the nomination list, at least. (Although he's more likely to get a Golden Globe.

ETA: Also, George Clooney (Up in the Air is still getting very good reviews. Also...Morgan Freeman played Nelson Mandela (Invictus). That has Oscar written ALL over it.

BEST ACTRESS
Gadboury Sidibe, Precious

Very likely, since Marion Cotilliard won so recently for La Vie En Rose. ETA: Her biggest competition is a toughie though - Meryl Streep (Julie/Julia). Since Julie/Julia and Nine will be considered musicals/comedies, Sidibe will very definitely get a Golden Globe.

BEST DIRECTOR
Pete Docter, Up

BEST PICTURE
Up

Nominated, yes. Win, no. Unfortunate, but Nine will be a tour de force, and Tarantino will be an underdog (i.e. he didn't win for Pulp Fiction, so he should get this one).

Oh, and Tarantino will be nominated for Best Original Screenplay, and a likely winner. Also, there could be a post-mortem nod for Tennessee Williams....although the newest Coen brothers release could be a sleeper.